Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at IKI STORE CHAMPIOSHIP AMB
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -3.9 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1200
· median 1200
· range 1200–1200
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1036
Q1 1274
Q3 1409
1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
